John D. Mueller is Director of the Economics and Ethics Program of the Ethics and Public Policy Center. He previously served as an EPPC associate scholar.
Mr. Mueller is also president of LBMC LLC, a firm in Washington, D.C., specializing in economic and financial-market forecasting and economic policy analysis. He has more than 25 years' experience in those fields.
Mr. Mueller became a nationally known forecaster by devising a money measure he called the World Dollar Base to predict the 1990-91 inflation and 1991 recession, which surprised most forecasters. From 1988 to 2001 he was a principal and chief economist of Lehrman Bell Mueller Cannon, Inc.
Besides investment managers, Mr. Mueller has advised many American and foreign economic policymakers on monetary policy and exchange rates, policies for reducing unemployment, and income-tax, welfare and Social Security reform. These have included French premier-elect Edouard Balladur (1992-93); Gov. Bob Casey’s presidential exploratory committee (1995); the National Commission on Economic Growth and Tax Reform (1995-96); the Family Research Council (1996-99); the Government Development Bank for Puerto Rico (1997-98); the National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare (1997-99); Hon. Gary Bauer’s presidential campaign (1999-2000); and the Israel Center for Social and Economic Progress (2003).
From 1979 through 1988, Mr. Mueller was economist and speechwriter to then-Congressman Jack Kemp, mostly as Economic Counsel to the House Republican Conference (caucus) of which Kemp was chairman. In that capacity he drafted bills originating some key features of President Ronald Reagan’s tax cuts of 1981 and Tax Reform Act of 1986.
Mr. Mueller has been a Fellow of The Lehrman Institute since 2000 and of The Lincoln Institute since 2003. He was a founding board member of the G.K. Chesterton Institute, which is now at Seton Hall University.
Mr. Mueller lives with his wife Linda and three children in Washington, D.C.
Education
Mr. Mueller graduated in 1974 from Haverford College. In 1974-75 he was a Thomas J. Watson Traveling Fellow. In 2001-2002 he was among the first Fellows of Princeton University’s James Madison Program.
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