Hamiltonian Advice for Chicken Littles
By John D. Mueller
Posted: Tuesday, August 9, 2011
Both the stock market's latest decline and Congress's inability to balance the budget are related to the same problem: Congress having abandoned Hamilton's first principle of American political economy: Don't issue money to fund the federal deficit.  [Read More]

Babies and Dollars: Implications for USA, Russia, and the World
Remarks to the 2011 Moscow Demographic Summit
By John D. Mueller
Posted: Monday, July 25, 2011
The updated model of world fertility shows that across all countries, the birth rate is strongly reduced by both social benefits and national saving, but strongly and positively related to the rate of weekly worship.  [Read More]

Dollars and Sense
Proven Principles of Economic and Fiscal Sanity
By John D. Mueller
Posted: Friday, June 24, 2011
Both Republicans and Democrats have pushed policies that have violated the principles that undergirded the successful American policies of the past, which were outlined by James Madison and Alexander Hamilton in The Federalist papers and implemented by George Washington, Abraham Lincoln, Franklin D. Roosevelt, and Ronald Reagan as the country developed.  [Read More]

What If the Smartest Guy in the Room Doesn't Get It?
By John D. Mueller
Posted: Tuesday, April 26, 2011
Ben Bernanke specialized in the Great Depression, but ignored Jacques Rueff's contemporaneous explanation: the U.S dollar and British pound's use as reserve currencies.  [Read More]

"Reagan Democrats" Still Key to Economic Reform
By John D. Mueller
Posted: Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Despite deep partisan divisions, President Ronald Reagan won majorities of Republicans, Independents and "Reagan Democrats" by heeding James Madison's observation in Federalist No. 10 that "the most common and durable source of factions is the various and unequal distribution of property."  [Read More]

The Wiki'leak,' MAD Men, and the Dollar
By John D. Mueller
Posted: Wednesday, February 9, 2011
The significance of the latest Wiki'leak' was hardly that private bank economists' prognosis of stumbling-along-further endorsed Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner's policy of Managing American Decline (MAD).  [Read More]

State of Monetary Chaos
By John D. Mueller
Posted: Tuesday, January 25, 2011
By all accounts, President Barack Obama will refocus in his 2011 State of the Union address on "jobs and competitiveness" -- but not propose the two measures that would cut unemployment sharply and start to reverse the decline of U.S. industry. The next successful American president will.  [Read More]

Projecting the Future Diabetes Population Size and Related Costs for the U.S.
By James C. Capretta, Elbert S. Huang, Anirban Basu, Michael O’Grady
Posted: Monday, November 30, 2009
Between 2009 and 2034, the number of people with diagnosed and undiagnosed diabetesis projected to increase from 23.7 million to 44.1 million. Without far-reaching changes in public or private strategies, the costs associated with caring for diabetic patients will add a significant strain to an already overburdened health-care system.  [Read More]

Using Clinical Information To Project Federal Health Care Spending
How Congress could use a diabetes spending projection model to help inform budget decisions.
By James C. Capretta, Elbert S. Huang, Anirban Basu, Michael J. O’Grady
Posted: Friday, September 25, 2009
Type 2 diabetes is a prime example of a chronic illness with long-term health and cost consequences. This paper present results from an epidemiologically based cost projection model which shows that more intensive interventions early in the disease's natural progression can avoid some costly complications later, thus partially offsetting the costs of the more intensive management of the disease.  [Read More]

Health-Care Cost Projections for Diabetes and other Chronic Diseases: The Current Context and Potential Enhancements
By James C. Capretta, Michael J. O’Grady
Posted: Friday, September 25, 2009
Sound policymaking for diabetes interventions and other chronic conditions with similar natural histories is likely to require cost estimates beyond ten years. These estimates will also need to incorporate the latest, most rigorous evidence from clinical medicine regarding the health status changes that might be expected from various interventions.  [Read More]