Tocqueville’s Comparison of America and Russia, Updated

Ulyanovsk International Demographic Conference | Published on September 25, 2012

By John D. Mueller

How has Tocqueville's 1835 prediction about Russia and the U.S. fared? And why is Russia's birth rate, after sinking as low as 1.2 children per couple, sharply improving, while America's birth rate, after remaining near the replacement rate of 2.1 children per couple for the past decade, sharply declining?

Practical Steps on Births, Benefits, Booms and Busts

World Congress of Families | Published on May 25, 2012

By John D. Mueller

Several practical policies could improve the Spanish and American birth rates, lower their unemployment rates, and render their real estate markets less vulnerable to boom-bust cycles.

Finn’s “Nine Libertarian Heresies” and Mueller’s First Lemma: Economists Complain Exactly Insofar as They Are Unable to Explain

Journal of Markets and Morality | Published on June 27, 2012

By John D. Mueller

Mark Twain remarked that "Wagner's music is better than it sounds." Similarly, Daniel K. Finn's "Nine Libertarian Heresies Tempting Neoconservative Catholics to Stray from Catholic Social Thought" is better than it reads–like a draft introduction to 'The Catholic Economist's Guide to How to Make Enemies and Fail to Influence People.'

The Demographic Winter (How We Got to Where We Are)

World Congress of Families | Published on May 25, 2012

By John D. Mueller

By discussing "The Demographic Winter (How We Got to Where We Are)," we are asking, in effect, why so many nations are acting against human nature.

Benefits or Babies: Will Social Benefits “Crowd Out” Children?

World Congress of Families | Published on May 25, 2012

By John D. Mueller

Without reforms of the same magnitude as Congressman Ryan proposes, there will be no way to prevent a sharp decline in the U.S. birth rate, and thus a decline in the relative size of the U.S. population and economy.